Prediction Markets
15 articles, most recent October 10, 2026.
- Regulation
CFTC Swap Rule Expands Swap Definition to Cover Prediction Markets, Excludes Casino-Style Betting
The CFTC swap rule proposes to classify sports, politics, culture and weather event contracts as swaps, while an interim rule removes casino-style gambling.
- Fintech
Robinhood CEO Says Crypto Event Contracts Will Overtake Sports Betting
Robinhood's Vlad Tenev says crypto-linked event contracts are outpacing sports bets and could become the platform's dominant prediction-market segment within.
- Fintech & Markets
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed as Kalshi September Hike Bets Reach 60-68%
Kalshi data shows September hike bets at 60-68%, cutting Fed cut odds and prompting crypto operators to adjust risk and hedging strategies.
- Regulation
Polymarket CLARITY Act Odds Drop to 15% for 2026 Passage
Polymarket’s market now shows a 15% probability that the CLARITY Act will pass in 2026, reshaping crypto-related regulatory risk assessments for institutions.
- Regulation
Prediction Market Insider Trading: Ex-White House Teleprompter Operator Fined by CFTC
Kalshi pioneered U.S. political-event contracts that settle on whether a president will utter a specific phrase during a speech.
- Regulation
Kalshi sports contracts swap ruling: Ninth Circuit says contracts aren’t swaps, splitting with Third Circuit
By classifying them as non-swap products, the court cleared the way for Nevada to enforce its gaming statutes against the prediction-market platform.
- Crypto & Fintech
Polymarket Counter-Strike promotion pays $20-$500 per X post, raising compliance concerns
Polymarket is running a Counter-Strike promotion that pays Brazilian esports pros $20-$500 per X post, prompting questions about AML, advertising compliance.
- Regulation
CFTC prediction market regulation: Soldier’s illegal Polymarket bet sparks legal clash
The stay does not affect the criminal case, which could begin late 2026 or early 2027, but it creates a procedural battleground for the regulator.
- Fintech Analysis
Gemini Apex partnership expands crypto prediction markets via broker distribution
Gemini’s new Gemini Apex partnership marks a decisive shift in how crypto prediction markets will be accessed by mainstream investors.
- Regulation
CFTC Warns Prediction Markets Over Vague Self-Certifications
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued a second warning to prediction markets on cookie-cutter self-certifications.
- Cryptocurrency
Prediction Markets Reach New Highs in June
Prediction markets reach record $50.7 billion in monthly notional volume in June driven by sports events and cryptocurrency trading.
- Crypto
2026 Guide to Prediction Markets
Discover the best prediction markets in 2026 and their impact on crypto trading with our complete guide to prediction market platforms.
- Crypto News
World Cup Drives $5.6B Surge in Prediction Markets
The World Cup has driven a $5.6B surge in prediction markets, with centralized platforms seeing significant growth and user activity.
- Technology
Meta Enters Prediction Markets Space
Meta develops prediction markets app for growth, investment, and user engagement. This figure is even higher this year, having already hit $130 billion.
- Fintech
TurboFlow Funding: $6 Million Raised to Drive APAC's Prediction Markets
TurboFlow raises $6 million to expand APAC's prediction markets, aiming to become a leading player with localized and compliant solutions.